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Demography
is the study of populations, including their size, structure and transformations.
Demography is the branch of knowledge that deals with human
populations; especially. the statistical analysis of births, deaths, migrations, disease,
etc., as illustrating the conditions of life in communities.
Disentangling the Effects of Demography and Selection in
Human History
Jason E. Stajich and Matthew W. Hahn
Department of Molecular Genetics and Microbiology, Duke University, Durham, North
Carolina; and Center for Population Biology, University of California, Davis
Abstract: Demographic events affect all genes in a genome, whereas natural selection has
only local effects. Using publicly available data from 151 loci sequenced in both
European-American and African-American populations, we attempt to distinguish the effects
of demography and selection. To analyze large sets of population genetic data such as this
one, we introduce "Perlymorphism," a Unix-based suite of analysis tools. Our
analyses show that the demographic histories of human populations can account for a large
proportion of effects on the level and frequency of variation across the genome. The
African-American population shows both a higher level of nucleotide diversity and more
negative values of Tajima's D statistic than does a European-American population. Using
coalescent simulations, we show that the significantly negative values of the D statistic
in African-Americans and the positive values in European-Americans are well explained by
relatively simple models of population admixture and bottleneck, respectively. Working
within these nonequilibrium frameworks, we are still able to show deviations from neutral
expectations at a number of loci, including ABO and TRPV6. In addition, we show that the
frequency spectrum of mutationscorrected for levels of polymorphismis
correlated with recombination rate only in European-Americans. These results are
consistent with repeated selective sweeps in non-African populations, in agreement with
recent reports using microsatellite data. -
mbe.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/22/1/63 |
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The Demography of Conflict and Violence: An Introduction
Helge Brunborg, Division for Social and Demographic Research, Statistics Norway,
hbr@ssb.no, henriku@prio.no
Henrik Urdal, Centre for the Study of Civil War, International Peace Research Institute,
Oslo (PRIO)
Journal of Peace Research, Vol. 42, No. 4, 371-374 (2005) DOI: 10.1177/0022343305054084 ©
2005 International Peace Research Institute, Oslo
The demography of armed conflict is an emerging field among demographers and peace
researchers alike. The articles in this special issue treat demography as both a cause and
a consequence of armed conflict, and they carry important policy implications. A study of
German-allied countries during World War II addresses the role of refugees and territorial
loss in paving the way for genocide. Other articles focusing on the demographic causes of
conflict discuss highly contentious issues of whether economic and social inequality, high
population pressure on natural resources, and youth bulges and limited migration
opportunities can lead to different forms of armed conflict and state failure. The
articles on demographic responses to armed conflict analyze the destructiveness of
pre-industrial warfare, differences in short- and long-term mortality trends after armed
conflict, and migratory responses in war. Another set of articles on demographic responses
to war is published simultaneously in the European Journal of Population. -
jpr.sagepub.com/cgi/content/abstract/42/4/371
Assimilation and differences between the settlement patterns of individual immigrants
and immigrant households
Spatial Demography Special Feature
Mark Ellis and Richard Wright
Department of Geography, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195-3550; and Department
of Geography, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH 03755-3571
Edited by William A. V. Clark, University of California, Los Angeles, CA and approved
September 15, 2005 (received for review July 1, 2005)
Abstract: Analyses of immigrant settlement patterns typically rely on counts of
foreign-born individuals by neighborhood, metropolitan area, state, or region. As an
alternative, this study classifies immigrants and their descendents into household types
to shift attention from individuals to relationships between individuals. The study uses
pooled current population survey data to identify seven household types, six of which have
various degrees of immigrant or second-generation presence. The research compares
distributions of first- and second-generation immigrants with different types of
households that include first- and second-generation immigrants. Our analysis shows that
the geography of immigration based on households differs considerably from geographies
based on individuals. The spatial distribution and concentration of the foreign-stock
population provides one picture of immigrant geographies, whereas the patterns of
concentration by several different household types opens up the chance to tell other
stories. More pointedly, we emphasize that the unit of analysis shapes assimilation
research results and implies that this analytical choice cannot be thought of as
independent from the politics of immigration. - pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/102/43/15325
Perspectives on the geographic stability and mobility of people in cities
Susan Hanson, School of Geography, Clark University, Worcester, MA 01610
Contributed by Susan Hanson, August 31, 2005
Spatial Demography Special Feature
Abstract: A class of questions in the human environment sciences focuses on the
relationship between individual or household behavior and local geographic context.
Central to these questions is the nature of people's geographic mobility as well as the
duration of their locational stability at varying spatial and temporal scales. The problem
for researchers is that the processes of mobility/stability are temporally and spatially
dynamic and therefore difficult to measure. Whereas time and space are continuous,
analysts must select levels of aggregation for both length of time in place and spatial
scale of place that fit with the problem in question. Previous work has emphasized
mobility and suppressed stability as an analytic category. I focus here on stability and
show how analyzing individuals' stability requires also analyzing their mobility. Through
an empirical example centered on the relationship between entrepreneurship and place, I
demonstrate how a spotlight on stability illuminates a resolution to the measurement
problem by highlighting the interdependence between the time and space dimensions of
stability/mobility. - pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/102/43/15301
Migration up and down the urban hierarchy and across the life course
D. A. Plane, C. J. Henrie, and M. J. Perry
Department of Geography and Regional Development, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721;
cDepartment of Social Sciences, Pittsburg State University, Pittsburg, KS 66762; and
dPopulation Division, U.S. Census Bureau, Washington, DC 20233
Edited by Susan Hanson, Clark University, Worcester, MA and approved September 15, 2005
(received for review August 29, 2005)
Spatial Demography Special Feature
Abstract: In this article, we begin by reviewing the concept of step migration that
originated in E. G. Ravenstein's seminal papers "The Laws of Migration" (1885,
1889). As a result of the forces of the Industrial Revolution underway in 19th century
Great Britain, migrants moved from farms to villages, from villages to towns, from towns
to county seats, and thence to large cities. Throughout much of the industrialization era
in the United States, net population movements similarly were upward within the urban
hierarchy, and step migration today remains widespread throughout much of the still
developing world. Our investigations of recent data and trends, however, suggest that the
latest U.S. migration-pattern regime is a strongly contrasting one. Many of the major
movements in the system of internal (or domestic) migration are flows down the urban
hierarchy, although we note highly differentiated patterns for persons and households at
specific stages of the life course. We make use of the newly defined metropolitan and
micropolitan Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) and a seven-level size typology to
tabulate origin-destination-specific migration flow data from both Census 2000 and IRS
tax-return administrative records for the period 1995-2000. We discuss the causes for net
movements being either upward or downward in the national urban hierarchy, including the
effects of spatially focused immigration, and movement preferences at various ages,
including migration in young adulthood associated with entering and leaving college and
the military, as well as moves characteristic of the stages of family formation,
childrearing, and retirement. - pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/102/43/15313
Population distribution and redistribution of the baby-boom cohort in the United
States: Recent trends and implications
Peter A. Rogerson and Daejong Kim
Spatial Demography Special Feature
Departments of Geography and Biostatistics, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY 14261; and
National Center for Geographic Information and Analysis, Buffalo, NY 14261
Edited by Susan Hanson, Clark University, Worcester, MA and approved September 16, 2005
(received for review September 1, 2005)
Abstract: Over 70 million people were born into the baby-boom cohort between 1946 and
1964. Over 65 million of these individuals are presently alive, and thus the cohort
continues to exert a powerful influence on regional population change in the United
States. In this article, we examine the recent and current geographic distribution of the
baby-boom cohort. In 1990, the members of the cohort comprised a particularly high
proportion of the population in a small number of dynamic metropolitan areas. We also
highlight the recent migration trends exhibited by this cohort; these trends are
potentially important early indicators of the retirement-related migration patterns that
the cohort might follow. The spatial redistribution of the cohort has many implications,
including potentially significant consequences for intergenerational relationships and
caregiving. Also highlighted in the article are the temporal and geographical implications
for intergenerational caregiving. There has been much attention given to the
"sandwich" generation, with its members having dual caregiving responsibilities
to both parents and children. A more appropriate designation may be the
"stretched" generation, because caregiving seems to extend over a long period.
In particular, many members of the baby-boom cohort are beginning to care for their aging
parents just as they finish child rearing. - pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/102/43/15319
Assimilation and differences between the settlement patterns of individual immigrants
and immigrant households
Mark Ellis and Richard Wright
Department of Geography, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195-3550; and Department
of Geography, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH 03755-3571
Edited by William A. V. Clark, University of California, Los Angeles, CA and approved
September 15, 2005 (received for review July 1, 2005)
Spatial Demography Special Feature
Abstract: Analyses of immigrant settlement patterns typically rely on counts of
foreign-born individuals by neighborhood, metropolitan area, state, or region. As an
alternative, this study classifies immigrants and their descendents into household types
to shift attention from individuals to relationships between individuals. The study uses
pooled current population survey data to identify seven household types, six of which have
various degrees of immigrant or second-generation presence. The research compares
distributions of first- and second-generation immigrants with different types of
households that include first- and second-generation immigrants. Our analysis shows that
the geography of immigration based on households differs considerably from geographies
based on individuals. The spatial distribution and concentration of the foreign-stock
population provides one picture of immigrant geographies, whereas the patterns of
concentration by several different household types opens up the chance to tell other
stories. More pointedly, we emphasize that the unit of analysis shapes assimilation
research results and implies that this analytical choice cannot be thought of as
independent from the politics of immigration. - pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/102/43/15325
The changing demographic, legal, and technological contexts of political
representation
Benjamin Forest
Department of Geography, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH 03755
Edited by William A. V. Clark, University of California, Los Angeles, CA and approved
September 13, 2005 (received for review August 22, 2005)
Spatial Demography Special Feature
Abstract: Three developments have created challenges for political representation in the
U.S. and particularly for the use of territorially based representation (election by
district). First, the demographic complexity of the U.S. population has grown both in
absolute terms and in terms of residential patterns. Second, legal developments since the
1960s have recognized an increasing number of groups as eligible for voting rights
protection. Third, the growing technical capacities of computer technology, particularly
Geographic Information Systems, have allowed political parties and other organizations to
create election districts with increasingly precise political and demographic
characteristics. Scholars have made considerable progress in measuring and evaluating the
racial and partisan biases of districting plans, and some states have tried to use
Geographic Information Systems technology to produce more representative districts.
However, case studies of Texas and Arizona illustrate that such analytic and technical
advances have not overcome the basic contradictions that underlie the American system of
territorial political representation. - pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/102/43/15331
Confidentiality and spatially explicit data: Concerns and challenges
Leah K. VanWey, Ronald R. Rindfuss , Myron P. Gutmann , Barbara Entwisle , and Deborah
L. Balk
Department of Sociology, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405; Department of
Sociology and Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC
27516-2524; Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research, University of
Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48106-1248; and Center for International Earth Science Information
Network, Columbia University, Palisades, NY 10964
Edited by Susan Hanson, Clark University, Worcester, MA and approved September 14, 2005
(received for review July 10, 2005)
Spatial Demography Special Feature
Abstract: Recent theoretical, methodological, and technological advances in the spatial
sciences create an opportunity for social scientists to address questions about the
reciprocal relationship between context (spatial organization, environment, etc.) and
individual behavior. This emerging research community has yet to adequately address the
new threats to the confidentiality of respondent data in spatially explicit social survey
or census data files, however. This paper presents four sometimes conflicting principles
for the conduct of ethical and high-quality science using such data: protection of
confidentiality, the socialspatial linkage, data sharing, and data preservation. The
conflict among these four principles is particularly evident in the display of spatially
explicit data through maps combined with the sharing of tabular data files. This paper
reviews these two research activities and shows how current practices favor one of the
principles over the others and do not satisfactorily resolve the conflict among them. Maps
are indispensable for the display of results but also reveal information on the location
of respondents and sampling clusters that can then be used in combination with shared data
files to identify respondents. The current practice of sharing modified or incomplete data
sets or using data enclaves is not ideal for either the advancement of science or the
protection of confidentiality. Further basic research and open debate are needed to
advance both understanding of and solutions to this dilemma. -
pnas.org/cgi/content/abstract/102/43/15337
Demography of Sexual Orientation in Adolescents
Gary Remafedi MD, MPH, Michael Resnick PhD, Robert Blum MD, PhD, and Linda Harris
From the Adolescent Health Program, Department of Pediatrics, University of Minnnesota
Hospital and Clinics, Minneapolis
This study was undertaken to explore patterns of sexual orientation in a representative
sample of Minnesota junior and senior high school students. The sample included 34 706
students (grades 7 through 12) from diverse ethnic, geographic, and socioeconomic strata.
Five Items pertaining to sexual attraction, fantasy, behavior, and affiliation were
embedded in a self-administered survey of adolescent health. Overall, 10.7% of students
were "unsure" of their sexual orientation; 88.2% described themselves as
predominantly heterosexual and 1.1% described themselves as bisexual or predominantly
homosexual. The reported prevalence of homosexual attractions (4.5%) exceeded homosexual
fantasies (2.6%), sexual behavior (1%), or affiliation (0.4%). Gender differences were
minor; but responses to Individual sexual orientation items varied with age, religiosity,
ethnicity, and socioeconomic status. Uncertainty about sexual orientation diminished in
successively older age groups, with corresponding increases in heterosexual and homosexual
affiliation. The findings suggest an unfolding of sexual identity during adolescence,
influenced by sexual experience and demographic factors. -
pediatrics.aappublications.org/cgi/content/abstract/89/4/714
Aging: The Reality - Demography of Human Supercentenarians
L. Stephen Coles, Department of Surgery, David Geffen School of Medicine, University
of California at Los Angeles.
Address correspondence to L. Stephen Coles, MD, PhD, Department of Surgery, David Geffen
School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095-7313. E-mail:
scoles@ucla.edu
The Journals of Gerontology Series A: Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences
59:B579-B586 (2004) © 2004 The Gerontological Society of America
An international committee of demographers has created a carefully documented list of
worldwide living supercentenarians (110 years old) that has been published by the Los
Angeles Gerontology Research Group on its web site and updated on a weekly basis for the
past 6 years [see "snapshot" for the year 2003 in the Appendix]. What can be
learned by studying this distinguished group of individuals? Also, what are the
implications for understanding the fundamental biological limits to human longevity and
maximum life span? Our conclusion: Although everyone agrees that average life expectancy
has systematically advanced linearly over the last century, it is not realistic to expect
that this pace can continue indefinitely. Our data suggest that, without the invention of
some new unknown form of medical breakthrough, the Guinness Book of World Records
benchmark established by French woman Jeanne Calment of 122 years, set back in 1997, will
be exceedingly difficult to break in our lifetime. -
biomed.gerontologyjournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/59/6/B579
Israeli Discourse on Arab-Jewish Demography
Elia Zureik
Abstract: Without exception, Israeli commentators of various political and disciplinary
shades have recently turned their attention to examining Arab-Jewish population balance in
the current political dispute between the two peoples. While demography is not new to
Zionist and Israeli discourse, its veracity now and the need, in the face of declining
Jewish immigration and continuing increase in the size of the Arab population, to settle
once and for all the geography and political contours of the Jewish state is
greater than ever.
The paper situates the debate within discussions about the role of demography in
ethnically-bound societies, the evolution of population balance between Arabs and Jews
since 1948, including population projections should Israel retain its occupation of the
West Bank and Gaza, the relationship between modernization and demographic structure, the
containment policies of successive Israeli governments toward the Arab population, and the
ideological bases of Israeli-Jewish discourse regarding the Arab population as revealed in
public opinion data on issues related to population transfer, expulsion, and political
disenfranchisement.
The paper concludes by pointing out that the population debate is driven by three factors:
exaggerating the size of the Arab population in Israel through counting the Arabs of East
Jerusalem and the Golan Heights as part of Israel, the inapplicability of the
modernization thesis to demography as long as socio-economic policies towards the Arab
sector remain discriminatory in their essence, and the tendency to solve the demographic
issue by espousing population transfer and land exchange in the name of national security.
- mada-research.org/review/issue1a1.pdf
Demography as both a cause and a consequence of armed conflict
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